Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.927727e+00 2.322147 2.748102 3.239109 3.786311 4.374371 5.051055
2025-01-26 1.338286e+00 1.858397 2.471015 3.231680 4.136901 5.166571 6.413084
2025-02-02 9.614002e-01 1.538852 2.277766 3.257810 4.489709 5.955368 7.799067
2025-02-09 6.537072e-01 1.224602 2.021872 3.150166 4.642425 6.490145 8.892048
2025-02-16 4.430008e-01 0.983546 1.809160 3.052167 4.773603 6.980319 9.929301
2025-02-23 3.162107e-01 0.831824 1.688911 3.051837 5.014006 7.601317 11.135492
2025-03-02 2.131659e-01 0.683524 1.541629 2.985177 5.144341 8.069149 12.146828
2025-03-09 1.675610e-01 0.630500 1.537129 3.125240 5.564242 8.928672 13.683138
2025-03-16 1.164676e-01 0.541852 1.452010 3.124269 5.771177 9.497204 14.841541
2025-03-23 9.499404e-02 0.517689 1.479974 3.305166 6.251075 10.451699 16.533102
2025-03-30 7.277574e-02 0.479400 1.472398 3.421921 6.634111 11.276197 18.061477
2025-04-06 5.148470e-02 0.429407 1.430537 3.472377 6.912241 11.954362 19.398754
2025-04-13 3.053246e-02 0.360798 1.336359 3.424233 7.038704 12.427913 20.480251
2025-04-20 2.018681e-02 0.326071 1.312084 3.500775 7.366381 13.201513 21.994726
2025-04-27 1.264197e-02 0.293838 1.286259 3.570081 7.682265 13.962685 23.503084
2025-05-04 5.213668e-03 0.237832 1.182863 3.475498 7.718161 14.304564 24.421081
2025-05-11 1.548612e-03 0.190262 1.085905 3.380274 7.743426 14.625649 25.309793
2025-05-18 3.980536e-04 0.162749 1.039765 3.384574 7.937070 15.204027 26.574753
2025-05-25 1.339698e-05 0.130439 0.964353 3.315293 7.994892 15.570739 27.534752
2025-06-01 1.413987e-07 0.125610 0.986764 3.466704 8.451563 16.565764 29.425529
2025-06-08 NaN 0.106206 0.945256 3.466207 8.631215 17.127891 30.686039
2025-06-15 NaN 0.106432 0.985296 3.660431 9.172991 18.270066 32.815758
2025-06-22 NaN 0.100464 0.996495 3.785629 9.589751 19.219309 34.669262